Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 1.843029e-05 2.252211e-05 0.000027 0.000032 0.000038 0.000045 0.000052
2025-08-17 1.199783e-05 1.680896e-05 0.000023 0.000030 0.000039 0.000049 0.000061
2025-08-24 8.220735e-06 1.314166e-05 0.000020 0.000028 0.000039 0.000053 0.000070
2025-08-31 6.118599e-06 1.106434e-05 0.000018 0.000028 0.000041 0.000058 0.000080
2025-09-07 4.413997e-06 9.104234e-06 0.000016 0.000027 0.000042 0.000061 0.000088
2025-09-14 3.031552e-06 7.256492e-06 0.000014 0.000025 0.000041 0.000063 0.000093
2025-09-21 2.119687e-06 5.926686e-06 0.000013 0.000024 0.000041 0.000065 0.000099
2025-09-28 1.431131e-06 4.774025e-06 0.000011 0.000023 0.000041 0.000067 0.000105
2025-10-05 1.083386e-06 4.212590e-06 0.000011 0.000023 0.000043 0.000071 0.000113
2025-10-12 8.011434e-07 3.686766e-06 0.000010 0.000023 0.000044 0.000075 0.000122
2025-10-19 5.502611e-07 3.111391e-06 0.000009 0.000022 0.000044 0.000078 0.000128
2025-10-26 4.976295e-07 3.122626e-06 0.000010 0.000024 0.000049 0.000086 0.000143
2025-11-02 2.987229e-07 2.568047e-06 0.000009 0.000024 0.000050 0.000091 0.000155
2025-11-09 1.208801e-07 1.806184e-06 0.000008 0.000022 0.000049 0.000092 0.000161
2025-11-16 4.171537e-08 1.290763e-06 0.000007 0.000021 0.000048 0.000094 0.000168
2025-11-23 1.465543e-08 1.017166e-06 0.000006 0.000020 0.000050 0.000099 0.000180
2025-11-30 2.433722e-09 7.395682e-07 0.000005 0.000020 0.000050 0.000102 0.000190
2025-12-07 1.626118e-11 4.857266e-07 0.000005 0.000018 0.000049 0.000103 0.000196
2025-12-14 NaN 3.238683e-07 0.000004 0.000017 0.000049 0.000106 0.000204
2025-12-21 NaN 2.006232e-07 0.000003 0.000016 0.000048 0.000107 0.000211
2025-12-28 NaN 1.504869e-07 0.000003 0.000016 0.000050 0.000113 0.000224
2026-01-04 NaN 1.076810e-07 0.000003 0.000016 0.000051 0.000118 0.000236
2026-01-11 NaN 6.707496e-08 0.000003 0.000016 0.000052 0.000121 0.000246